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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will China make a successful, major cyberattack on Taiwanese critical infrastructure before December 31, 2022?

resultNo

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

48%chance
condition

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030?

8 forecasters
if yes
if no

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

15%
15%

Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

5%
5%
2
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