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When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

00

Will Tesla roll out the fully autonomous autopilot feature before 2021?

resultNo

What will be the US MSRP of lowest priced Tesla in 2030?

25.1k $

Will a Tesla car demonstrate fully autonomous capability before the end of 2021?

resultNo

Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?

Key Factor

Tesla has a robotaxi fleet in Austin

60%chance

Key Factor

Tesla has a robotaxi fleet in Austin

Will Tesla's market cap be greater than $1 trillion before July 1, 2023?

resultNo

In which year will Tesla officially unveil a new passenger vehicle, possibly called the Model 2, priced under $25,000?

Not before 202758.7%
202625.8%
202515.5%
and 1 other

Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?

resultNo

Will Tesla have a higher market capitalization than Ford on 01 January 2020?

resultYes

What will Tesla's market capitalization be on 1 January 2021?

resultMore than 150