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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
4
4
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
2
comments
35
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
03 Nov 2025
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
11
1
1
comment
7
comments
58
forecasters
Will the EU have an average annual inflation rate of at least 2.5% for any month before December 2025?
99.9%
chance
35.4%
this week
3
comments
41
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.1%
6
comments
103
forecasters
Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?
Abu Dhabi
66.7%
Qatar
29.9%
Las Vegas
3%
1 other
0%
3
comments
57
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
30.3%
OpenAI
23.8%
Anthropic
18.1%
3 others
28%
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
0
comments
107
forecasters
Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United States)
10%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
107
forecasters
Will Ghana sign into law "The Proper Human Sexual Rights and Ghanaian Family Values" bill before 2026?
33%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
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