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Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

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When will the RSA-2048 challenge number be factorized by a quantum computer?

Feb 2035
2.6 years this week

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

Will OpenAI surpass 15 million business users before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 7 hours

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

Will the unemployment rate for recent college graduates in the United States rise to 20% or more for three months before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 7 hours

Will resident doctors in England receive a further pay increase before 2026?

Forecast revealed in 3 days

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

What percentage of companies will report that at least 11% of their revenues is due to the use of generative AI in 2029?

Forecast revealed in 7 hours

Will the Strait of Hormuz be closed before 2026?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Will OpenAI release an open-source model that ranks in the top 35 of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard before October 2025?

Forecast revealed in 3 days

Will the UK economy grow by at least 2% GDP in a year this parliamentary term?

Forecast revealed in 3 days

Will the Defense Production Act be re-authorized before October 2025?

Forecast revealed in 3 days