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Will the United States Environmental Protection Agency pass a PFAS Maximum Contaminant Level rule for all municipal water systems in the United States by January 1, 2030?

67%chance

Will any US state decriminalize or legalize a major psychedelic drug in 2022?

resultYes

Will Bayer cease selling all Roundup products, or substantially reformulate all Roundup products in the United States before 2040?

48.8%chance

Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?

resultNo

Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will MDMA be approved for the treatment of PTSD by 2025?

resultNo

In the year ending in November 2nd, 2020, will the combined U.S. investment in psychedelics research and psychedelics-focused startups exceed $100M?

resultNo

Will James Bedford be revived or emulated before 2200?

5%chance

Will Alcor offer the use of a fixative during cryopreservation procedures before 2030?

53%chance

While cryopreservation using fixatives is available, how many times more likely will someone be to be revived by 2200 if they are cryopreserved using fixatives than without?

11.4

Will Psilocybin be removed from Schedule I List before 2036?

70%chance