• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🗽
State of the Union
⏳
AI 2027
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

When will self-driving taxis be available to Metaculus users?

00

What will be the share of zero-emission vehicle federal fleet procurements in the United States in the following fiscal years?

Will Tesla roll out the fully autonomous autopilot feature before 2021?

resultNo

Will a Tesla car demonstrate fully autonomous capability before the end of 2021?

resultNo

When will self-driving taxis be available in at least one large German city?

08 Nov 2029

Renewables Forecasting

23
2 comments2
Metaculus Journal Archives

Deep Learning ourselves into the unknown

3
no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?

Key Factor

Tesla has a robotaxi fleet in Austin

60%chance

Key Factor

Tesla has a robotaxi fleet in Austin

What will be the proportion of orbital launches in 2030 for the following launcher categories?

What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years?