• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🗽
State of the Union
⏳
AI 2027
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2030?

2%chance

Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years

26
8 comments8

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

1%chance

One Million Martian Residents by 2075?

1%chance

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

59%chance

What percentage of world GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2030?

2.59%

If World War 3 happens before 2060, will the US and China be on the same side?

5%chance

The Unsolvable Control Problem, Artificial Sentience, and InfoSec

no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

Will "slaughterbots" kill at least 50 people outside a military conflict by 2035?

80%chance
5% this week

Will any country have a Total Fertility Rate below 0.5 before 2053?

75%chance