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Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?

70%chance

Will an epidemic or agroterrorist attack on US agriculture cause at least $20 billion (2021 USD) in damage by 2040?

31.2%chance

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

7
no comments0
Metaculus Journal Archives

What will be the average price (in cents per dozen) of eggs in the US for the week of Easter?

Annulled

Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?

Milk recall due to H5N1result: No
US officials warn against drinking milkresult: No
Confirmed H5N1 infection from retail milkresult: No

Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?

resultNo

Pandemic series: a bioterror attack against crops or livestock by 2020?

resultNo

When will Alcor begin performing cryothanasia?

Ambiguous

How many cattle will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?

Ambiguous

How many pigs will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?

result231k