• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🗽
State of the Union
⏳
AI 2027
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

4.14
states

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

9%chance

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

1%chance

Will a Russian nuclear weapon be detonated in the US before 2023?

resultNo

How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in the following years?

Will Donald Trump spend at least one hour confined in a jail cell before January 1, 2024?

resultNo

Will China go back on its “no first use” nuclear weapons policy before the following years?

20353%
20301.6%

Which jurisdiction will be the "Tipping Point" in the 2024 US presidential election?

Pennsylvaniaresult: Yes
Wisconsinresult: No
Michiganresult: No
and 10 others

Will the DC federal court grant class certification for an ongoing lawsuit against the government for “charging excessive fees to access court records through PACER”?

resultYes

Will the first commercial hyperloop system be within the US?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

34%chance