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US Democracy Index

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How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?

384.3%

415.1%

5 or more0.3%

0 comments

5 forecasters

Who will win the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?

Jorge Quiroga55%

Rodrigo Paz Pereira45%

1 comment

28 forecasters

Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?

São PauloUpcoming

Las VegasUpcoming

QatarUpcoming

66 comments

184 forecasters

Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?

Together for the Republic52.6%

No Prime Minister17.1%

Other12.1%

19 comments

114 forecasters

Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win?

Both elections76.3%

Only Virginia15.8%

Only New Jersey4.9%

32 comments

155 forecasters

How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025?

20-29result: Yes

30-393.6%

≥400.5%

8 comments

127 forecasters

How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025?

Mixed ruling33.9%

Tariffs lawful24.3%

No 2025 ruling18.5%

23 comments

109 forecasters

Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?

Gen.G30.2%

Hanwha Life Esports20.5%

T119.5%

7 comments

126 forecasters

Which year will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic first reach a valuation of at least $1 trillion?

202634.6%

202729.5%

202814.2%

9 comments

124 forecasters

Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?

Amanda Edwards41.5%

Christian Menefee31.7%

Jolanda Jones12.3%