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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
3
0
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
42
comments
106
forecasters
Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?
Together for the Republic
74.6%
Other
9.9%
No Prime Minister
4%
6 others
11%
1
comment
Will the White House direct federal agencies to target three or more high-profile presidential critics in the following years?
1
comment
1
forecaster
Will the U.S. federal government open formal investigations of at least 5 top-50 universities in the following years?
1
comment
Will two or more U.S. state or federal judges or legislators be victims of murder or attempted murder by non-state actors in the following years?
47
comments
163
forecasters
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
20%
chance
7%
this week
1
comment
1
forecaster
Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?
12
comments
37
forecasters
What will be the market price of the most expensive Pokémon card from the Mega Evolution expansion on November 26th?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 4 days
0
comments
5
forecasters
Will Chegg file for bankruptcy before January 1, 2026?
Revealed
in 2 days
14
comments
39
forecasters
Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025?
Revealed
in 4 days
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