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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

3
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
42 comments
106 forecasters

Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?

Together for the Republic74.6%
Other9.9%
No Prime Minister4%
1 comment

Will the White House direct federal agencies to target three or more high-profile presidential critics in the following years?

1 comment
1 forecaster

Will the U.S. federal government open formal investigations of at least 5 top-50 universities in the following years?

1 comment

Will two or more U.S. state or federal judges or legislators be victims of murder or attempted murder by non-state actors in the following years?

47 comments
163 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

20%chance
7% this week
1 comment
1 forecaster

Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?

12 comments
37 forecasters

What will be the market price of the most expensive Pokémon card from the Mega Evolution expansion on November 26th?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days
0 comments
5 forecasters

Will Chegg file for bankruptcy before January 1, 2026?

Revealed in 2 days
14 comments
39 forecasters

Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025?

Revealed in 4 days