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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Before August 22, 2024, will President Joe Biden take any of these specific actions to end his candidacy for re-election?

resultYes

Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025?

resultNo
condition

UN Troops In Gaza

Resolved:No
32 forecasters
if yes
if no

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Joe Biden)

51%
51%
Resolved:Annulled

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Joe Biden)

47%
47%
Resolved:No
6
1 comment1
Conditional Cup

Will Biden keep a +5% net Presidential approval rating throughout his first six months on the job?

resultYes

Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024?

resultNo

If the 2024 US Presidential Election is Trump vs. Biden, will Trump win?

Ambiguous
condition

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Resolved:No
12 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will Joe Biden Grant Clemency to Hunter?

10%
10%
Resolved:Annulled

Will Joe Biden Grant Clemency to Hunter?

32%
32%
Resolved:Yes
3
3 comments3

Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)?

Tim Walzresult: Yes
Gina Raimondoresult: No
Jeff Jacksonresult: No
and 16 others

Will the 2024 US presidential election also be considered fraudulent by the losing party?

resultNo

On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?

resultYes