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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

In what percent of US States will Casey-era abortion rights be granted on May 1, 2026?

54.5%

How many seats will be on the Supreme Court of the United States in 2030?

9.13
seats

Will a new amendment to the US Constitution be ratified by 2050?

58%chance

Will the US Supreme Court change its membership size before 2050?

38%chance

Will Roe v. Wade be formally overturned by July 31, 2028?

resultYes

Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023?

resultYes
condition

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump)

Resolved:Yes
62 forecasters
if yes
if no

US National Abortion Ban before 2030?

5%
5%

US National Abortion Ban before 2030?

1%
1%
Resolved:Annulled
10
10 comments10
2024 Electoral Consequences

By 2022, Will at least one abortion ban currently blocked by US federal courts go into effect?

resultNo

Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?

Key Factor

Donald Trump has stated that abortion policy should be set by the states, and his vice-presidential nominee, JD Vance, has expressed opposition to a national abortion ban.

15%chance

Key Factor

Donald Trump has stated that abortion policy should be set by the states, and his vice-presidential nominee, JD Vance, has expressed opposition to a national abortion ban.

Contributed by the Brazil Forecast Community community.

Will abortion be legalized in Brazil by the end of 2030?

1%chance