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Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) before 2035?

5%chance

Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?

Key Factor

Tesla has a robotaxi fleet in Austin

60%chance

Key Factor

Tesla has a robotaxi fleet in Austin

What will be the US MSRP of lowest priced Tesla in 2030?

26.1k $

When will Tesla deliver a new model cheaper than existing models?

03 Jan 2026

In which year will Tesla officially unveil a new passenger vehicle, possibly called the Model 2, priced under $25,000?

Not before 202758.7%
202625.8%
202515.5%
and 1 other

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

5%chance
3% this week

Before December 31, 2024, will Tech Crunch report new layoffs at Tesla?

resultNo

How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q1 2025?

result336.681k

Will Tesla Bots be available to US consumers between 2025-12-31 and 2030-12-31?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

What will Tesla's market capitalization be on January 1, 2030?

1585
B USD