Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Open
condition
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be confirmed by the US Senate as Secretary of Health and Human Services before April 1, 2025?
2 forecasters
if yes
if no
What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?
The Community Prediction will be revealed on
What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?
The Community Prediction will be revealed on
2
no comments
0
Will any more of Trump's announced Cabinet picks drop out before January 1, 2025?
44 forecasters
The Community Prediction will be revealed on
6
19 comments
19
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025?
41 forecasters
The Community Prediction will be revealed on
6
4 comments
4
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
How many whooping cough cases will New Zealand report for weeks 51 and 52?
23 forecasters
The Community Prediction will be revealed on
5
7 comments
7
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
What will the cost of attendance in MIT be for the academic year 2044-2045?
Forecast data is empty
1
3 comments
3
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be confirmed by the US Senate as Secretary of Health and Human Services before April 1, 2025?
75%
19 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
What will be Donald Trump's net favorability rating on December 27, 2024?
25 forecasters
The Community Prediction will be revealed on
2
no comments
0
🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Will Indian authorities report that two hundred million or more pilgrims have attended Kumbh Mela?
2 forecasters
The Community Prediction will be revealed on
1
3 comments
3
What is the highest value 1 bitcoin will ever reach before each of the following halvings?
5th halving (2028)
?
6th halving (2032)
?
7th halving (2036)
?
The Community Prediction will be revealed on
3 comments
3
When will a referendum on Quebec independence take place?
2027-12-10
2 forecasters
2
6 comments
6
Load More