• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current Events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

[Short fuse] Will the Government lose its majority in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

[Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025?

Forecast revealed in 4 days

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

3
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies?

Forecast revealed in 3 days

What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Will employment in US knowledge-intensive sectors (NAICS 52 and 54) decline by more than 1% in any single month before January 2030?

Will OpenAI release an open-source language model that ranks in the top 35 of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard before October 1st, 2025?

How many U.S. metro areas with more than 500k people will have non-routine military or federalized National Guard deployments before Nov 3, 2026?

Forecast revealed in 4 days

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will Anthropic first report that an AI system has reached or surpassed the following AI R&D risk levels?

Forecast revealed in 4 days

Contributed by the Risk Threshold Forecasting community.

When will Google first report that an AI system has reached or surpassed the following Instrumental Reasoning risk levels?

Forecast revealed in 3 days