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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)

3 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

1 comment1

Will Rachel Reeves remain UK Chancellor of the Exchequer until December, 2025?

Forecast revealed in 3 days

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?

Key Factor

ease of filing FEC Form 1

70%chance
12% today

Key Factor

ease of filing FEC Form 1

Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?

Key Factor

Hurricane forecasts suggest above-average season

36%chance

Key Factor

Hurricane forecasts suggest above-average season

Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025?

Pokrovsk15%
Myrnohrad11%
Kostiantynivka8%
and 1 other

How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?

Key Factor

Public support removal impacts pace but not growth

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Key Factor

Public support removal impacts pace but not growth

[Short fuse] Will the Government lose its majority in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election?

65%chance
27% this week

[Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025?

7.56
Legislators
94.4 percentage points this week

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

4
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3