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Will Japanese Manga , "The Future I Saw" new edition correctly predict Natural Disaster in Japan before end of July 2025?

When will Commonwealth Fusion System's SPARC tokamak first demonstrate net power (Q > 1)?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

condition

Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?

if yes
if no

Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on CBRN?

No forecasts yet

Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on CBRN?

No forecasts yet
no comments0

Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?

80%chance

Will at least one 'media storm' regarding rogue AI occur by 2030?

Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?

Key Factor

Hurricane forecasts suggest above-average season

Forecast revealed in 3 days

Key Factor

Hurricane forecasts suggest above-average season

Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?

Key Factor

Public support removal impacts pace but not growth

Forecast revealed in 6 days

Key Factor

Public support removal impacts pace but not growth

[Short fuse] Will the Government lose its majority in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election?

75%chance
4% today