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When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029?

85%chance

When will an autonomous car defeat human-driven cars in an official Formula 1 race?

Jul 2039

Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?

92%chance

When will autonomous flying vehicles be commercially available?

Aug 2037

Will a Self-Driving Car be available for ride service by the end of 2018?

resultNo

When will the next fully autonomous car fatality occur?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Oct 2019

In what year will half of new cars sold in the US be fully autonomous?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

Dec 2031

Fully autonomous self-driving cars by 2018?

resultNo

When will the first driverless cargo truck make a cross-USA trip?

result01 Jan 2025 00:00