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Will any country have a nuclear weapon with yield above 30 MT by 2030?
6%
5
25 comments
25
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will China reach 1,000 nuclear warheads by 2030?
55%
11
5 comments
5
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?
2%
21
9 comments
9
Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026?
1%
4
105 comments
105
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
20%
58
67 comments
67
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
68%
Saudi Arabia
23%
South Korea
5%
7 others
8
6 comments
6
Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?
51%
5
11 comments
11
Will the world still have nuclear weapons through 2075?
Closed
19
20 comments
20
How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years?
2025:
9.53k
8
10 comments
10
Forecasting Our World in Data
How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024?
Resolved :
2
15
27 comments
27
Nuclear Risk Tournament
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