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Winners of the Forecast With GiveWell commenting prize
2
3 comments
3
Forecast With GiveWell
Who will be the next CEO of Intel?
Lip-Bu Tan
?
Matt Murphy
?
Johny Srouji
?
10 others
Revealed
in 3 days
2
2 comments
2
When will Rail Baltica begin commercial operation between Tallinn and Warsaw?
1 forecaster
Revealed
in 3 days
1 comment
1
How many confirmed mpox cases for the following years (2025+)?
2025
?
2026
?
Revealed
in 2 days
1
no comments
0
Mpox (Monkeypox)
Panama Canal: What will be the lowest water level on record for Gatun Lake at the end of 2030?
1 forecaster
Revealed
in 4 days
1
6 comments
6
condition
Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?
231 forecasters
if yes
if no
What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?
Revealed
in 2 weeks
What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?
Revealed
in 2 weeks
2 comments
2
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
condition
Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?
196 forecasters
if yes
if no
What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?
Revealed
in 6 hours
What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?
Revealed
in 6 hours
2
1 comment
1
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
Will President Trump issue a new executive order delaying the tariffs on Canada before March 4, 2025?
85%
18 percentage points this week
365 forecasters
4
6 comments
6
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?
249 forecasters
Revealed
in 6 hours
5
8 comments
8
Bridgewater Forecasting Contest
Which team will win the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off?
Canada
67.02%
USA
20.62%
Finland
6.18%
1 other
4 comments
4
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