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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)

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Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

1 comment1

When will Commonwealth Fusion System's SPARC tokamak first demonstrate net power (Q > 1)?

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

Forecast revealed in 5 days
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Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?

if yes
if no

Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on CBRN?

No forecasts yet

Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of High or higher on CBRN?

No forecasts yet
no comments0

Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?

74%chance
6% today

Will at least one 'media storm' regarding rogue AI occur by 2030?

Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?

Key Factor

Hurricane forecasts suggest above-average season

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Key Factor

Hurricane forecasts suggest above-average season

Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025?

Forecast revealed tomorrow

How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?

Key Factor

Public support removal impacts pace but not growth

Forecast revealed in 5 days

Key Factor

Public support removal impacts pace but not growth

[Short fuse] Will the Government lose its majority in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election?

65%chance
10% today