Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Threat
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
We are hiring a Full-Stack Engineer
2
0
comments
39
comments
116
forecasters
Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 hours
12
comments
124
forecasters
Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026?
85%
chance
5%
today
4
comments
8
forecasters
Will the US stock market go down by more than 2% in any week in the 4th quarter of 2025?
result
Yes
19
comments
98
forecasters
Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win?
Both elections
77.1%
Only Virginia
14.9%
Only New Jersey
5%
1 other
3%
4
comments
8
forecasters
Will Tesla operate 400,000 driverless robotaxis over any three consecutive months before 2032?
Current estimate
Revealed
tomorrow
15
comments
124
forecasters
Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?
97%
chance
42%
this week
Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup
8
46
46
comments
Metaculus Cup Fall 2025
2
comments
5
forecasters
Will Russia, India, and China hold a trilateral (three-way) meeting before September 1, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 days
1
comment
6
forecasters
When will a satellite be equipped with a nuclear weapon?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 days
Load More