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Oct 17 Update: Bot Templates & Tutorials Available for the Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark
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Predictions as Public Works Project โย What Metaculus Is Building Next
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Winners of the Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup!
3
3 comments
3
๐ Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup ๐
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trump
50.2%
Kamala Harris
50%
J.D. Vance
0.2%
17 others
288
3k comments
3k
A Massive Rewrite, A Slate of Improvements, and Going Open Source
26
312 comments
312
Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?
Iowa
98%
Alaska
97%
Ohio
96.3%
20 others
40
248 comments
248
Will Donald Trump spend any time in jail or prison before June 30, 2028?
Closed
67
223 comments
223
Will an AI system do credibly well on a full math SAT exam by 2025?
Closed
59
38 comments
38
Will Erik Ten Hag stop being Manchester United's manager before 2025?
48%
3
4 comments
4
๐ Quarterly Cup ๐
Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?
Closed
43
46 comments
46
Pandemic Series (2018)
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