0 comments
107 forecasters
At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?
35%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
2 comments
42 forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
04 Nov 2025 01:17
0 comments
106 forecasters
Will three or more Frontier AI Labs issue a joint statement committing to constrain their AI's capabilities before 2026?
14.8%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
99 forecasters
How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?
Latest estimate
6.33 labs
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
105 forecasters
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?
15%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
106 forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
15%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
83 forecasters
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
Latest estimate
77.2 cases
This question is closed for forecasting.