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9
comments
6
forecasters
What will be the record for log quantum volume over the next five years?
48
comments
230
forecasters
Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI?
34%
chance
6%
this week
16
comments
108
forecasters
If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?
Europa
36%
Mars
35%
Enceladus
10%
7 others
6
comments
19
forecasters
How many of the 10 most important advancements in machine learning or artificial intelligence of 2025-2030 will have been discovered by an AI system?
Latest estimate
3.84
This question is closed for forecasting.
2
comments
79
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
0.1%
chance
17
comments
19
forecasters
When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?
Current estimate
Jan 2038
0
comments
5
forecasters
How many scientific journal articles will be published in the following years?
1
comment
23
forecasters
When will an AI-written paper first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings?
Current estimate
06 Sep 2028
21
comments
404
forecasters
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
33%
chance
69
comments
295
forecasters
Will there be a breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?
99%
chance
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