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19 comments
20 forecasters

When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?

Current estimate
Oct 2035
2 comments
95 forecasters

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%chance
10 comments
21 forecasters

When will the remaining six Millennium Prize problems be solved?

00
9 comments
6 forecasters

What will be the record for log quantum volume over the next five years?

6 comments
19 forecasters

How many of the 10 most important advancements in machine learning or artificial intelligence of 2025-2030 will have been discovered by an AI system?

Latest estimate
3.84

This question is closed for forecasting.

3 comments
2 forecasters

Will Google make a "watershed" announcement about quantum computing in early December?

resultNo
69 comments
296 forecasters

Will there be a breakthrough in accurately predicting protein structure before 2031?

99%chance
1 comment
23 forecasters

When will an AI-written paper first get published in a top 50 scientific journal according to the Scimago Journal rankings?

Current estimate
06 Feb 2028
23 comments
413 forecasters

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

35%chance
16 comments
109 forecasters

If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

Europa36%
Mars35%
Enceladus10%