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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

13
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0 comments
99 forecasters

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?

37.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
97 forecasters

Will the IBEX 35 close 2025 higher than it started?

88%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
90 forecasters

What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Oct-25)

Latest estimate
4.43%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
89 forecasters

What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Sep-25)

Latest estimate
50.1k jobs

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
86 forecasters

What will be the value of "CBOE S&P 500 3-Month Volatility Index" on 2025-09-25?

Latest estimate
18.7 Index

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
85 forecasters

What will be the value of "ICE BofA US Corporate Index Total Return Index Value" on 2025-09-25?

Latest estimate
3579 Index

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
84 forecasters

What will be the value of "ICE BofA Emerging Markets Corporate Plus Index Option-Adjusted Spread" on 2025-09-22?

Latest estimate
1.54 Percent

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
85 forecasters

Will CME's market close price on 2025-09-27 be higher than its market close price on 2025-09-15?

53%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
84 forecasters

What will be the labor force participation rate (total 16 and older) in the US for October 2025?

Latest estimate
62.3%

This question is closed for forecasting.