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Will NVIDIA's stock price close above $220 or below $180 on any single day before November 22, 2025?

45%chance

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100 forecasters

Will OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons, before 2026?

8%chance

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99 forecasters

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

8%chance

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0 comments

44 forecasters

How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q4 2025?

Latest estimate

459k vehicles

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99 forecasters

Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?

5%chance

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0 comments

95 forecasters

Will at least ten countries have committed to any diplomatic agreement restricting solar geoengineering, before 2026?

10%chance

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0 comments

98 forecasters

Will a major streaming platform publicly confirm the use of a GNN-based recommendation system before 2026?

15.7%chance

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98 forecasters

Before January 1, 2026, will the Labour Party poll 4th place or worse in the UK, according to Politico's average?

35%chance

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0 comments

93 forecasters

How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)

Latest estimate

1.68 pp

This question is closed for forecasting.