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0 comments
32 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH29%
Google Cloud12%
Amazon Web Services11%
2 comments
40 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH25%
Amazon Web Services5%
Microsoft Azure5%
9 comments
40 forecasters

At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments?

Mark Zuckerbergresult: No
Sundar Pichairesult: No
Sam Altmanresult: No

Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant

0 comments
8 comments
35 forecasters

Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?

7 comments
34 forecasters

Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?

0 or 142.6%
2 or 341.8%
4 or 510.6%

Economic Impacts of Artificial General Intelligence

10
0 comments
AI Progress Essay Contest
14 comments
63 forecasters

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?

Google DeepMind20%
Amazon5%
Microsoft4%

πŸ€– The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

4
0 comments
44 comments
434 forecasters

RagnarΓΆk Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

28%chance