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0
comments
32
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
29%
Google Cloud
12%
Amazon Web Services
11%
1 other
2
comments
40
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH
25%
Amazon Web Services
5%
Microsoft Azure
5%
1 other
Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant
0
comments
7
comments
34
forecasters
Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?
0 or 1
42.6%
2 or 3
41.8%
4 or 5
10.6%
3 others
5%
Economic Impacts of Artificial General Intelligence
10
0
comments
AI Progress Essay Contest
2
comments
36
forecasters
Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?
AMD
5%
Nvidia
5%
Google
5%
14
comments
63
forecasters
Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
Google DeepMind
20%
Amazon
5%
Microsoft
4%
14 others
1
comment
18
forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE
44%
Naura
35%
Nata
30%
1 other
🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!
4
0
comments
4
comments
7
forecasters
What will be the "state of the art" for these quantum computing metrics in March, 2028?
Single-qubit relaxation time (T1) (μs)
375M
Coherence time (T2) (seconds)
442
2-qubit gate infidelity
1.66×10⁻⁴
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