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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
0 comments
32 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH29%
Google Cloud12%
Amazon Web Services11%
2 comments
40 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH25%
Amazon Web Services5%
Microsoft Azure5%

Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant

0 comments
7 comments
34 forecasters

Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?

0 or 142.6%
2 or 341.8%
4 or 510.6%

Economic Impacts of Artificial General Intelligence

10
0 comments
AI Progress Essay Contest
2 comments
36 forecasters

Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?

AMD5%
Nvidia5%
Google5%
14 comments
63 forecasters

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?

Google DeepMind20%
Amazon5%
Microsoft4%
1 comment
18 forecasters

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura35%
Nata30%

🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!

4
0 comments
4 comments
7 forecasters

What will be the "state of the art" for these quantum computing metrics in March, 2028?

Single-qubit relaxation time (T1) (μs)375M
Coherence time (T2) (seconds)442
2-qubit gate infidelity1.66×10⁻⁴