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0
comments
31
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH
29%
Google Cloud
14.2%
Microsoft Azure
14%
1 other
2
comments
39
forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH
25%
Amazon Web Services
5%
Microsoft Azure
5%
1 other
Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index
5
6
6
comments
🤖 The Fall AI Benchmark Tournament and MiniBench are now open!
4
0
comments
$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
4
4
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
2
comments
35
forecasters
Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?
AMD
5%
Nvidia
5%
Google
5%
AI and Geopolitics: Resources, Predictions, and Mental Models
0
comments
AI and Geopolitics: Resources, Predictions, and Mental Models
2
comments
120
forecasters
Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?
0 or 1
51.2%
2 or 3
34.6%
4 or 5
10.8%
3 others
3%
10
comments
38
forecasters
Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
≤5 nm
99%
≤3 nm
90%
≤2 nm
47%
1
comment
17
forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE
44%
Naura
35%
AMEC
30%
1 other
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