0 comments
32 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH29%
Google Cloud12%
Amazon Web Services11%
2 comments
40 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH25%
Microsoft Azure5%
Amazon Web Services5%
13 comments
130 forecasters
Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?
95%chance
2 comments
36 forecasters
Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?
AMD5%
Nvidia5%
Google5%
1 comment
18 forecasters
Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?
SMEE44%
Naura35%
Nata30%
0 comments
95 forecasters
Will a paper with an AI as an author be published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?
80%chance
5% this week
10 comments
39 forecasters
Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?
≤5 nm99%
≤3 nm90%
≤2 nm47%