0 comments
29 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?
OVH16%
Microsoft Azure14%
Google Cloud12%
2 comments
38 forecasters
Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?
OVH27%
Microsoft Azure5%
Amazon Web Services5%
26 comments
43 forecasters
Five years after AGI, will AI philosophical competence be solved?
11%chance
9% this week
2 comments
35 forecasters
Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?
AMD5%
Nvidia5%
Google5%
2 comments
112 forecasters
Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?
0 or 149.5%
2 or 337.6%
4 or 510.4%
7 comments
35 forecasters
Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?
38 comments
103 forecasters
When will AI wholly create an original, critically-acclaimed feature film?
Current estimate
Apr 2031