[PRACTICE] Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?1.7% chance-1288288 comments156156 forecasters1.7%chance
When will the next parliamentary elections be held in Greece?27 Apr 2027 (07 Feb 2027 - 01 Jul 2027)133 comments55 forecasters27 Apr 2027 (07 Feb 2027 - 01 Jul 2027)
Which option will match the official nationwide voter turnout in Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election?102102 comments103103 forecasters
Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?3% chance0 comments3232 forecasters3%chance
Will Iceland pass a referendum to resume EU membership negotiations before 2028?51% chance355 comments3737 forecasters51%chance
When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process?105353 comments2727 forecasters
Will Copernicus report that Europe was warmer than the 1991–2020 average in March 2026 before April 30, 2026?result: yes130130 comments127127 forecastersResolvedYes
Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024?result: yes22 comments3838 forecastersResolvedYes
Will over 2/3 of EU member states recognize Palestinian statehood before July 2026?3.3% chance566 comments110110 forecasters3.3%chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?82121 comments8585 forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that there will be no civil war in a European country (that wasn't communist in 1988) by 2046?87% chance52727 comments5959 forecasters87%chance
Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?0.1% chance744 comments8181 forecasters0.1%chance
Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?4% chance799 comments8585 forecasters4%chance
Which party will win the most seats in the 2023 Spanish Congress of Deputies election?555 comments3030 forecasters
Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections?422 comments3434 forecasters
Who will win the second round of the 2024 presidential election in Romania?103333 comments5757 forecasters
What will be the official vote percentage for the Ensemble! coalition in the first round of the French legislative elections on June 30, 2024, as reported by July 3, 2024?21.3 (20.1 - 22.2)21010 comments3636 forecasters21.3 (20.1 - 22.2)