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4
comments
2
forecasters
How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (2029)
Labour Party
128
Conservative Party
43.8
Liberal Democrats
57.5
4 others
22
comments
59
forecasters
Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?
Keir Starmer
23%
Andy Burnham
15%
Lisa Nandy
10%
6 others
3
comments
13
forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
65%
José Antonio Kast
27.5%
Evelyn Matthei
2.5%
5 others
5
comments
24
forecasters
Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?
result
No
70
comments
140
forecasters
Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?
Together for the Republic
70.1%
No Prime Minister
13.2%
Other
6.5%
6 others
10%
Key Factors
Short term left-wing government?
New discussions around Lecornu in the next 48 hours
Potential for dissolution if new PM isn't found
8
comments
13
forecasters
Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?
25%
chance
Key Factors
Domestic politics – election outcomes and party coalitions shape chances of calling a referenduum.
Public opinion – persistent skepticism may pressure politicians to promise a referendum.
EU dynamics – stronger integration pressures could trigger domestic pushback via referendum.
9
comments
13
forecasters
Will Israel participate in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026?
75%
chance
4%
this week
Key Factors
Possible ceasefire could impact Eurovision decisions
Conditional Withdrawals if Israel Is Not Allowed to Compete
Conditional withdrawals of other countries
1
comment
12
forecasters
Will the UK join or create a youth mobility scheme with the EU before 2030?
90%
chance
4%
this week
5
comments
87
forecasters
Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?
4%
chance
Key Factors
German stance
Fractured parliament and weak government in France
U.S. nuclear umbrella uncertainty
2
comments
45
forecasters
Which group will win the most seats in the 2025 Czech parliamentary election?
ANO
result:
Yes
Spolu
17.8%
Other
4.6%
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