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4
comments
4
forecasters
How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (2029)
Labour Party
149
Conservative Party
68.9
Liberal Democrats
59.6
4 others
9
comments
13
forecasters
Will Israel participate in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026?
75%
chance
Key Factors
Possible ceasefire could impact Eurovision decisions
Conditional Withdrawals if Israel Is Not Allowed to Compete
Conditional withdrawals of other countries
5
comments
24
forecasters
Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?
result
No
8
comments
13
forecasters
Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?
25%
chance
Key Factors
Public opinion – persistent skepticism may pressure politicians to promise a referendum.
EU dynamics – stronger integration pressures could trigger domestic pushback via referendum.
Legal framework – constitutional changes or special laws are needed to enable a referendum.
5
comments
93
forecasters
Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?
3%
chance
Key Factors
Fractured parliament and weak government in France
Domestic political constraints in France
U.S. nuclear umbrella uncertainty
2
comments
38
forecasters
Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024?
result
Yes
0
comments
1
forecaster
Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024?
Annulled
8
comments
60
forecasters
Which country will win the UEFA Euro 2024?
Spain
result:
Yes
England
34.6%
France
0.1%
6 others
1%
12
comments
20
forecasters
(closed) Which country will win UEFA Euro 2024?
Spain
result:
Yes
England
22.6%
France
22.6%
21 others
46%
2
comments
45
forecasters
Which group will win the most seats in the 2025 Czech parliamentary election?
ANO
result:
Yes
Spolu
17.8%
Other
4.6%
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