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US Democracy Index

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Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?

Together for the Republic62.9%

No Prime Minister14.1%

Other7.3%

8 comments

12 forecasters

Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

22%chance

1 comment

48 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara62%

José Antonio Kast32%

Evelyn Matthei8%

9 comments

28 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the Dutch parliamentary elections of 2023?

NSCresult: No

VVDresult: No

PvdA-GLresult: No

5 comments

70 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

7%chance

9 comments

14 forecasters

Will Israel participate in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026?

79%chance

5% this week

21 comments

93 forecasters

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Keir Starmer23%

Andy Burnham15%

Lisa Nandy10%

13 comments

11 forecasters

How many seats will each party win in the 2025 Czech legislative election?

ANO 2011result: 80 seats

Civic Democratic Party (ODS)result: 27 seats

Mayors and Independents (STAN)result: 22 seats

2 comments

45 forecasters

Which group will win the most seats in the 2025 Czech parliamentary election?

ANOresult: Yes

Spolu17.8%

Other4.6%

7 comments

63 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

7%chance