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Top Comments of the Week

Jun 14 - Jun 20

Top comments are determined by comment votes, key factor votes, and minds changed. Bonus points are awarded for strong scores across multiple categories. Only votes cast within a week of a comment count, with rankings finalized after that seven-day period.

The rankings below will be final on Jun 28, 2026.

Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?

1st place
Question
Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister of the UK during 2026?
Jgalton Jun 19, 2026
8

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur before September 2026?

2nd place
Question
How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur before September 2026?
exmateriaeon Jun 16, 2026
Key Factors
CSU Hurricane Seasonal Forecastingtropical.colostate.edu โ€ข Jun 16, 2026tropical.colostate.eduโ€ขJun 16, 2026
tropical.colostate.edu logo
Decreases Likelihood
El Niรฑo suppresses activity (especially early season)
Decreases Likelihoodย for 0
Pre-September major hurricanes mean and mode over 2016-2025

Projection

1 average count By
2026
(Source)
7

Will the UK National Threat Level reduce from SEVERE before September 2026?

3rd place
Question
Will the UK National Threat Level reduce from SEVERE before September 2026?
WasteTimeContinuumon Jun 17, 2026
Key Factors
Record high terrorism custody numbers
Decreases Likelihood
4
1

Will GTA VI be released during 2026?

4th place
Question
Will GTA VI be released during 2026?
Jgalton Jun 18, 2026
6

Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal on any day before September 2026?

5th place
Question
Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal on any day before September 2026?
WasteTimeContinuumon Jun 15, 2026
Key Factors
Deal reached to end war and reopen strait
Increases Likelihood
Opening for demining delays normal traffic
Decreases Likelihood
3
4

Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before 2027?

6th place
Question
Will a case of Bundibugyo Ebola disease be first confirmed in the US before 2027?
Scott_Eastmanon Jun 15, 2026
5