• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Discover
  • Services
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Discover
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
๐Ÿ’ฌ
Top Comments
๐Ÿ’ก
Comments Feed
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Indexes
๐Ÿ†
Leaderboards
โš™๏ธ
Labor Hub
๐Ÿฆพ
FutureEval
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
US Midterms
โš”๏ธ
Metaculus Cup
๐Ÿ’ฅ
Iran War
โ“
Top Questions
๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ
Current Events
๐Ÿ’ผ
Economy & Business
๐Ÿ›๏ธ
Politics
๐ŸŒ
Geopolitics
โš™๏ธ
Technology
๐Ÿค–
Artificial Intelligence
๐Ÿฆ 
Health & Pandemics
๐Ÿ’ป
Computing and Math
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ
Elections
๐ŸŒฑ
Environment & Climate
๐Ÿ”ฌ
Natural Sciences
๐Ÿ€
Sports & Entertainment
โš–๏ธ
Law
๐Ÿš€
Space
๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘
Social Sciences
๐Ÿ”ฎ
Metaculus
โ˜ข๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
๐Ÿ’ฐ
Cryptoยญcurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use

Top Comments of the Week

Sep 13 - Sep 19

Top comments are determined by comment votes, key factor votes, and minds changed. Bonus points are awarded for strong scores across multiple categories. Only votes cast within a week of a comment count, with rankings finalized after that seven-day period.

The rankings below will be final on Sep 27, 2026.

Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

1st place
Question
Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?
Wineclawon Sep 13, 2026
8
2

Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

2nd place
Question
Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Kobohon Sep 15, 2026
5

When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

3rd place
Question
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
hold_my_fishon Sep 18, 2026
5

Who will be awarded the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?

4th place
Question
Who will be awarded the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
exmateriaeon Sep 14, 2026
Key Factors
Considering the stakes, there is a decent argument to make that this is worth the prize
Increases Likelihoodย for Donald J. Trump
Trump still wants the Nobel Peace Prize even if he says he does not care
Increases Likelihoodย for Donald J. Trump
2
4

How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?

5th place
Question
How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
A6N23on Sep 16, 2026
2
1

When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

6th place
Question
When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?
whybyfireon Sep 13, 2026
4