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US Democracy Index

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Will a referendum on adopting the euro be officially announced in the Czech Republic before 2030?

22%chance

1 comment

46 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara66%

José Antonio Kast36%

Evelyn Matthei7%

68 comments

191 forecasters

Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?

Together for the Republic61%

No Prime Minister14.2%

Other9.2%

13 comments

11 forecasters

How many seats will each party win in the 2025 Czech legislative election?

ANO 2011result: 80 seats

Civic Democratic Party (ODS)result: 27 seats

Mayors and Independents (STAN)result: 22 seats

2 comments

140 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election?

PVV77.1%

Gl/PvdA11.9%

CDA8%

7 comments

63 forecasters

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

7%chance

1 comment

8 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Will the vote of no confidence in Michel Barnier's government pass in the French National Assembly?

resultNo

2 comments

38 forecasters

Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024?

resultYes

0 comments

1 forecaster

Will Fidesz-KDNP Maintain Its EU Plurality from Hungary in 2024?

Annulled

9 comments

28 forecasters

Which party will win the most seats in the Dutch parliamentary elections of 2023?

NSCresult: No

VVDresult: No

PvdA-GLresult: No