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0
comments
23
forecasters
In Louisiana v. Callais, will SCOTUS rule that Louisiana's map with two majority-Black districts is illegal?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 13 hours
6
comments
45
forecasters
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Current estimate
15 pp
0
comments
94
forecasters
Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win?
Both elections
60.5%
Only Virginia
24.2%
Only New Jersey
9.5%
1 other
6%
This question is closed for forecasting.
1
comment
46
forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
66%
José Antonio Kast
36%
Evelyn Matthei
7%
5 others
2
comments
48
forecasters
Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025?
75%
chance
7%
this week
0
comments
42
forecasters
Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians?
10%
chance
6
comments
55
forecasters
Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?
result
Yes
12
comments
132
forecasters
Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?
Amanda Edwards
42.3%
Christian Menefee
35.1%
Jolanda Jones
10.3%
4 others
12%
0
comments
88
forecasters
Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?
20%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
16
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6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
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