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What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

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in 2 days

condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

2 forecasters

if yes

if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

1 1 comment

2 forecasters

0 comments

104 forecasters

Will Elon Musk's million-dollar giveaway to register voters be considered illegal on December 31, 2025?

17.3%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

40 forecasters

Will the United States commit to providing Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles before December 1, 2025?

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2 comments

40 forecasters

Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025?

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0 comments

40 forecasters

Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians?

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3 comments

5 forecasters

Will the U.S. Department of Commerce complete a new census before the 2026 midterms?

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tomorrow

0 comments

107 forecasters

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

18%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

94 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 31.00% on 2025-10-23 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?"?

47.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

42 forecasters

Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025?

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in 3 days