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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
55 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0 comments
107 forecasters

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

11.4%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment
9 forecasters

Will the United States invade Venezuela before January 20, 2029?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
35 comments
118 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

25%chance
50% this week
0 comments

Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló be re-elected president of Guinea-Bissau in 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days
0 comments
99 forecasters

Who Will be President of Zimbabwe on January 1, 2026?

Emerson Mnangagwa81.8%
Constantino Chiwenga10.4%
Someone else4.3%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
106 forecasters

If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
96 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 5.00% on 2025-11-08 for the Metaculus question "Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?"?

27%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

112 comments
251 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

63%chance
17% this week
0 comments
105 forecasters

In 2025, will IRA's Advanced Manufacturing Production Tax Credits (45Χ) start requiring the use of domestic materials or subcomponents?

25%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.