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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
10
0
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0
comments
3
forecasters
Will an active duty U.S. senior military leader join an election campaign or accept a civilian executive position in the following years?
0
comments
4
forecasters
Will U.S. authorities transfer any current or former U.S. citizen to a prison abroad in the following years?
0
comments
5
forecasters
Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?
4
comments
6
forecasters
Will the White House direct federal agencies to target three or more high-profile presidential critics in the following years?
1
comment
6
forecasters
Will two or more U.S. state or federal judges or legislators be victims of murder or attempted murder by non-state actors in the following years?
1
comment
6
forecasters
Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?
47
comments
195
forecasters
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
20%
chance
0
comments
4
forecasters
How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years?
2025
Upcoming
2026
Upcoming
2027
Upcoming
1 other
15
comments
84
forecasters
Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025?
Revealed
in 2 days
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