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12
comments
82
forecasters
Who will win the FIDE Chess World Cup 2025?
Someone else
72.3%
Arjun Erigaisi
20.7%
Wei Yi
6.3%
7 others
1%
5
comments
12
forecasters
Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Hikaru Nakamura
99.9%
Anish Giri
99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa
99.9%
18 others
1
comment
20
forecasters
Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?
0
comments
18
forecasters
Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?
0
comments
9
forecasters
Will the United States, Russia or China detonate a nuclear device before April 1, 2026?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 days
1
comment
9
forecasters
Will the Trump administration release the Epstein Files before January 20, 2029?
30%
chance
0
comments
2
forecasters
Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
24%
José Antonio Kast
36%
Evelyn Matthei
15%
5 others
0
comments
4
forecasters
Before January 1, 2026, will the Labour Party poll 4th place or worse in the UK, according to Politico's average?
40%
chance
39.9%
this week
125
comments
283
forecasters
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
47%
chance
Key Factors
Presence of aircraft carrier group in region
Authorized CIA to carry out operations
US in "armed conflict" with narcotrafic and preparing options for strikes
5
comments
14
forecasters
If Viktor Orbán leads a party in the 2026 Hungarian Election, will he become Prime Minister?
50%
chance
30%
this week
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