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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

10
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0 comments
3 forecasters

Will an active duty U.S. senior military leader join an election campaign or accept a civilian executive position in the following years?

0 comments
4 forecasters

Will U.S. authorities transfer any current or former U.S. citizen to a prison abroad in the following years?

0 comments
5 forecasters

Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?

4 comments
6 forecasters

Will the White House direct federal agencies to target three or more high-profile presidential critics in the following years?

1 comment
6 forecasters

Will two or more U.S. state or federal judges or legislators be victims of murder or attempted murder by non-state actors in the following years?

1 comment
6 forecasters

Will U.S. Congress pass new limits on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in the following years?

47 comments
195 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

20%chance
0 comments
4 forecasters

How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years?

2025Upcoming
2026Upcoming
2027Upcoming
15 comments
84 forecasters

Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025?

Revealed in 2 days