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US Democracy Index

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Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jararesult: No

José Antonio Kastresult: Yes

Evelyn Mattheiresult: No

5 comments

12 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Hikaru Nakamura99.9%

Anish Giri99.9%

R Praggnanandhaa99.9%

135 comments

306 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

48%chance

8% this week

Key Factors

0 comments

3 forecasters

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states?

GeorgiaUpcoming

IowaUpcoming

MaineUpcoming

0 comments

What will be Donald Trump's approval rating be on November 25, 2025?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 5 days

0 comments

87 forecasters

Will Mikie Sherrill be officially certified as the winner of New Jersey’s 2025 gubernatorial election by December 31, 2025?

97%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

12 comments

13 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jararesult: Yes

José Antonio Kastresult: No

Evelyn Mattheiresult: No

1 comment

15 forecasters

Will the Trump administration release the Epstein Files before January 20, 2029?

33.3%chance

13 comments

84 forecasters

Who will win the FIDE Chess World Cup 2025?

Someone else67.7%

Arjun Erigaisi21.4%

Wei Yi10.2%

Key Factors

0 comments

97 forecasters

What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (November)

Latest estimate

250

This question is closed for forecasting.