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12 comments
82 forecasters

Who will win the FIDE Chess World Cup 2025?

Someone else72.3%
Arjun Erigaisi20.7%
Wei Yi6.3%
5 comments
12 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Hikaru Nakamura99.9%
Anish Giri99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.9%
1 comment
20 forecasters

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

0 comments
18 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

0 comments
9 forecasters

Will the United States, Russia or China detonate a nuclear device before April 1, 2026?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
1 comment
9 forecasters

Will the Trump administration release the Epstein Files before January 20, 2029?

30%chance
0 comments
2 forecasters

Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara24%
José Antonio Kast36%
Evelyn Matthei15%
0 comments
4 forecasters

Before January 1, 2026, will the Labour Party poll 4th place or worse in the UK, according to Politico's average?

40%chance
39.9% this week
125 comments
283 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

47%chance

Key Factors

5 comments
14 forecasters

If Viktor Orbán leads a party in the 2026 Hungarian Election, will he become Prime Minister?

50%chance
30% this week