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11 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. presidentโ€™s net worth reach โ‰ฅ4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

0 comments
15 forecasters

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?

0 comments
14 forecasters

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

0 comments
14 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

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46 forecasters

Will a SCOTUS decision weakening donor disclosure rules for political spending or electioneering communications be good law in the following years?

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106 forecasters

If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

5 comments
2 forecasters

If Viktor Orbรกn leads a party in the 2026 Hungarian Election, will he become Prime Minister?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
4 comments
1 forecaster

How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (2029)

Labour PartyUpcoming
Conservative PartyUpcoming
Liberal DemocratsUpcoming
11 comments
133 forecasters

Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?

resultYes
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2 forecasters

Before January 1, 2026, will the Labour Party poll 4th place or worse in the UK, according to Politico's average?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days