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104 forecasters

Will Elon Musk's million-dollar giveaway to register voters be considered illegal on December 31, 2025?

17.3%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
94 forecasters

Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win?

Both elections60.5%
Only Virginia24.2%
Only New Jersey9.5%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
98 forecasters

Will the Trump administration attempt to withdraw from key international arms control agreements in 2025?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

18 comments
140 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

97.7%chance
42.7% this week

Contributed by the A Dictator’s Diary: The Strategic Logic of Political Survival community.

0 comments
14 forecasters

Will Samia Suluhu Hassan win the next Tanzanian election with 80% or more of the votes cast?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 weeks
0 comments
107 forecasters

Will Ukraine extend martial law beyond November 5, 2025?

90%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
94 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 69.00% on 2025-10-24 for the Metaculus question "Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025?"?

36.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
94 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 10.00% on 2025-10-23 for the Metaculus question "Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?"?

25%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
18 forecasters

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Current estimate
Revealed in 1 hour
0 comments
2 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette JaraUpcoming
José Antonio KastUpcoming
Evelyn MattheiUpcoming