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US Democracy Index

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Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

0 comments

7 forecasters

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states?

GeorgiaUpcoming

IowaUpcoming

MaineUpcoming

418 comments

1.2k forecasters

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes

Nikki Haleyresult: No

Ron DeSantisresult: No

3.9k comments

3.6k forecasters

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes

Gretchen Whitmerresult: No

Pete Buttigiegresult: No

82 comments

235 forecasters

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes

Kamala Harris (D)result: No

Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled

238 comments

223 forecasters

Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?

J.D. Vanceresult: Yes

Vivek Ramaswamyresult: No

Donald Trump Jr.result: No

1 comment

18 forecasters

Which party's nominee will win the 2028 US presidential election?

Democratic Party52.5%

Republican Party47.4%

Other0.1%

0 comments

3 forecasters

What will be the Democratic candidate's Electoral College margin in the 2028 US presidential election?

Current estimate

15.4 votes

584 comments

1.2k forecasters

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Kamala Harrisresult: Yes

Joe Bidenresult: No

Gavin Newsomresult: No

60 comments

30 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states?

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?

Which party's nominee will win the 2028 US presidential election?

What will be the Democratic candidate's Electoral College margin in the 2028 US presidential election?

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

In these months, what will be Biden's polling margin over Trump according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average?

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states?

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?

Which party's nominee will win the 2028 US presidential election?

What will be the Democratic candidate's Electoral College margin in the 2028 US presidential election?

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

In these months, what will be Biden's polling margin over Trump according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average?