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1 comment
42 forecasters

Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette JaraUpcoming
José Antonio KastUpcoming
Evelyn MattheiUpcoming

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

16
44 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0 comments
44 forecasters

In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?

0 comments
45 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

82 comments
235 forecasters

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trump (R)result: Yes
Kamala Harris (D)result: No
Gavin Newsom (D)Annulled
418 comments
1.2k forecasters

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No
3.9k comments
3.6k forecasters

Who will be elected US President in 2024?

Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Gretchen Whitmerresult: No
Pete Buttigiegresult: No
584 comments
1.2k forecasters

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Kamala Harrisresult: Yes
Joe Bidenresult: No
Gavin Newsomresult: No
75 comments
172 forecasters

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

2.5%chance
238 comments
223 forecasters

Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?

J.D. Vanceresult: Yes
Vivek Ramaswamyresult: No
Donald Trump Jr.result: No