0 comments
8 forecasters
Will both Kalshi and Polymarket assign >20% odds to the major-party nomination of an already twice-elected former U.S. president in the following years?
0 comments
6 forecasters
Will no debates be held between the actual or presumptive presidential nominees of the two major parties in the following US elections?
0 comments
6 forecasters
Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?
0 comments
7 forecasters
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
1 comment
58 forecasters
Will Nicholas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before January 1, 2026?
5%chance
2% this week
0 comments
6 forecasters
Will an active duty U.S. senior military leader join an election campaign or accept a civilian executive position in the following years?
35 comments
37 forecasters
Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires?
Jack Smith (special counsel)result: No
Barack Obamaresult: No
Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)result: No