0 comments
5 forecasters
Will an opposing-party authority block or remove a major-party nominee for statewide office from the U.S. general-election ballot in the following years?
0 comments
3 forecasters
Will an active duty U.S. senior military leader join an election campaign or accept a civilian executive position in the following years?
0 comments
7 forecasters
Will both Kalshi and Polymarket assign >20% odds to the major-party nomination of an already twice-elected former U.S. president in the following years?
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4 forecasters
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
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4 forecasters
Will no debates be held between the actual or presumptive presidential nominees of the two major parties in the following US elections?
0 comments
5 forecasters
Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?
0 comments
2 forecasters
Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of fraud?
0 comments
4 forecasters
In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?
418 comments
1.2k forecasters
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trumpresult: Yes
Nikki Haleyresult: No
Ron DeSantisresult: No