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1
comment
3
forecasters
Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Jeannette Jara
Upcoming
José Antonio Kast
Upcoming
Evelyn Matthei
Upcoming
5 others
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
16
4
4
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
38
comments
80
forecasters
Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?
2030
60%
2040
40%
2050
33%
0
comments
44
forecasters
In the following U.S. presidential elections, will any state fail to submit a slate of electoral votes to Congress by the safe harbor deadline?
2
comments
34
forecasters
Will the Economist stop classifying the United States as a democracy before 2030?
15%
chance
5%
this week
82
comments
235
forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)
result:
Yes
Kamala Harris (D)
result:
No
Gavin Newsom (D)
Annulled
17 others
418
comments
1.2k
forecasters
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Nikki Haley
result:
No
Ron DeSantis
result:
No
14 others
75
comments
172
forecasters
Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?
3%
chance
3.9k
comments
3.6k
forecasters
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Gretchen Whitmer
result:
No
Pete Buttigieg
result:
No
17 others
4
comments
40
forecasters
Will the US Constitution be amended to enable a third presidential term by Nov 2028?
3%
chance
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