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12
comments
63
forecasters
Who will be elected governor of New Jersey in 2025?
The Democratic Party candidate (Mikie Sherrill)
66%
The Republican Party candidate (Jack Ciattarelli)
33%
Other
1%
418
comments
1.2k
forecasters
Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Nikki Haley
result:
No
Ron DeSantis
result:
No
14 others
3.9k
comments
3.6k
forecasters
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trump
result:
Yes
Gretchen Whitmer
result:
No
Pete Buttigieg
result:
No
17 others
75
comments
171
forecasters
Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?
2.5%
chance
82
comments
235
forecasters
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Donald Trump (R)
result:
Yes
Kamala Harris (D)
result:
No
Gavin Newsom (D)
Annulled
17 others
584
comments
1.2k
forecasters
Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Kamala Harris
result:
Yes
Joe Biden
result:
No
Gavin Newsom
result:
No
13 others
238
comments
223
forecasters
Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day?
J.D. Vance
result:
Yes
Vivek Ramaswamy
result:
No
Donald Trump Jr.
result:
No
26 others
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
16
6
6
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
14
comments
16
forecasters
What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024?
Alaska
result:
13.1
Iowa
result:
13.2
Ohio
result:
11.1
22 others
0
comments
11
forecasters
Will no debates be held between the actual or presumptive presidential nominees of the two major parties in the following US elections?
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