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What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate

0.845 °C

Key Factors

1 comment

35 forecasters

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

96%chance

52 comments

283 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance

7 comments

194 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

1%chance

8 comments

144 forecasters

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

22%chance

condition

4 forecasters

3 comments

17 forecasters

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

32.4%chance

12 comments

34 forecasters

How much concern about climate change will exist in 2025, according to Google Trends?

Latest estimate

1.29

This question is closed for forecasting.

2 comments

24 forecasters

Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?

Current estimate

33.8B billion tonnes

condition

Renewables >55% global electric gen. by 2030?

1 forecaster

if yes

if no

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Oct 2060

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Feb 2053

4 4 comments

1 forecaster

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

EU Meets 2030 Climate Targets?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

How much concern about climate change will exist in 2025, according to Google Trends?

Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?

Renewables >55% global electric gen. by 2030?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

EU Meets 2030 Climate Targets?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

How much concern about climate change will exist in 2025, according to Google Trends?

Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?

Renewables >55% global electric gen. by 2030?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?