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21 comments
62 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Current estimate
0.87 °C

Key Factors

0 comments
8 forecasters

How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?

Current estimate
1.01 countries
0 comments
101 forecasters

What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?

Latest estimate
0.873 °C

This question is closed for forecasting.

1 comment
35 forecasters

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

96%chance
8 comments
144 forecasters

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

22%chance
40 comments
100 forecasters

Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?

condition

EU Meets 2030 Climate Targets?

Closed
4 forecasters
if yes
if no

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Feb 2046

First Year of Global Temperature Above 2˚C?

Aug 2045
2
11 comment
4
4 forecasters
3 comments
17 forecasters

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

32.4%chance
10 comments
102 forecasters

Will Germany fail to meet their coal commission’s goals?

50%chance
52 comments
283 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance