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39
comments
98
forecasters
Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?
7
comments
28
forecasters
Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?
33%
chance
8%
this week
3
comments
18
forecasters
Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?
34%
chance
0
comments
25
forecasters
How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?
Current estimate
0.886 countries
10
comments
101
forecasters
Will Germany fail to meet their coal commission’s goals?
45%
chance
52
comments
279
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10%
chance
1
comment
35
forecasters
Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?
95%
chance
7
comments
192
forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?
1%
chance
7
comments
33
forecasters
What will be Germany's per-capita CO2 emissions in 2030, in tonnes?
Current estimate
6.98 t
8
comments
142
forecasters
Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?
20%
chance
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