• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
❓
Top Questions
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
💎
Metaculus Cup
⏳
AI 2027
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
39 comments
98 forecasters

Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA?

7 comments
28 forecasters

Will non-compliance with environmental and climate change policies be cited as a cause of a war before 2073?

33%chance
8% this week
3 comments
18 forecasters

Will India’s climate-driven risk rise more than 10% in 2027 relative to 2022?

34%chance
0 comments
25 forecasters

How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?

Current estimate
0.886 countries
10 comments
101 forecasters

Will Germany fail to meet their coal commission’s goals?

45%chance
52 comments
279 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance
1 comment
35 forecasters

Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?

95%chance
7 comments
192 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

1%chance
7 comments
33 forecasters

What will be Germany's per-capita CO2 emissions in 2030, in tonnes?

Current estimate
6.98 t
8 comments
142 forecasters

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

20%chance