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Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

3 comments

52 forecasters

Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026?

Current estimate

Revealed

tomorrow

0 comments

Will the United States, Russia or China detonate a nuclear device before April 1, 2026?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 4 days

0 comments

99 forecasters

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

95 forecasters

Will at least ten countries have committed to any diplomatic agreement restricting solar geoengineering, before 2026?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

88 forecasters

Between Oct 15 and Dec 31, 2025 (UTC), will Russia or Belarus officially announce that the “Oreshnik” missile system is deployed on Belarusian territory?

64%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

6 comments

1 forecaster

Will Russia have an AI data center with >10,000 H100e before 2027?

20%chance

0 comments

106 forecasters

Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

97 comments

97 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 75.00% on 2025-11-08 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?"?

resultNo

13 comments

58 forecasters

Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026?

6.2%chance

8.8% this week

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