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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
4
4
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0
comments
92
forecasters
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?
5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
97
forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 75.00% on 2025-11-08 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?"?
58.6%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
107
forecasters
Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
10%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
94
comments
94
forecasters
Will the community prediction be higher than 31.00% on 2025-10-23 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?"?
result
Yes
0
comments
107
forecasters
Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026?
12%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Oct 29 Update of Activities for Foresight Grant
0
comments
104
comments
313
forecasters
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
51%
chance
11%
this week
1
comment
101
forecasters
Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?
Australia
63.8%
Turkey
20.9%
Germany
12.2%
2 others
3%
0
comments
106
forecasters
Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?
5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
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