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12 comments
67 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa before December 2025?

99.9%chance
91.6% this week

Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

0 comments
5 forecasters

Will the current ceasefire declared between Israel and Hamas hold by the time of our next meeting, October 28, 2025 12pm?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

1 forecaster
if yes
if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

11 comment
1
1 forecaster
1 comment
2 forecasters

When will ≥ 10 operational Golden Dome orbital interceptor satellites be simultaneously in orbit?

Current estimate
Revealed in 17 hours
0 comments
94 forecasters

Will the community prediction be higher than 31.00% on 2025-10-23 for the Metaculus question "Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?"?

47.5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
101 forecasters

How many US military personnel will be killed by Iran or its proxies before 2026?

058.3%
1-428.8%
5-2410.3%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
106 forecasters

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
88 forecasters

Will the interest in “gaza” change between 2025-10-14 and 2025-10-24 according to Google Trends?

Decreases38.6%
Doesn't change38.1%
Increases23.3%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
89 forecasters

Will the interest in “ukraine” change between 2025-10-14 and 2025-10-22 according to Google Trends?

Doesn't change56.1%
Increases24.5%
Decreases19.4%

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
101 forecasters

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?

12%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.