0 comments
107 forecasters
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
11.4%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
107 forecasters
At the end of 2025, will any of GiveWell's top charities perform mass deworming as their primary intervention?
35%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
108 forecasters
Will OpenAI offer ChatGPT in China before 2026?
8.5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
3 comments
6 forecasters
When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?
Current estimate
12 Nov 2025
2 comments
40 forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
04 Nov 2025 01:31
0 comments
92 forecasters
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?
5%chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
34 comments
171 forecasters
Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?
35%chance
59% this week