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We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus

6
11 comment
2 comments
24 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
02 Nov 2025

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

11
11 comment
3 comments
39 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.4%

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

4
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
0 comments
4 forecasters

Will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom win 33 or more seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives in the 2025 election?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days

Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

0 comments
6 forecasters

Will the current ceasefire declared between Israel and Hamas hold by the time of our next meeting, October 28, 2025 12pm?

53.9%chance
37.2% today
10 comments
6 forecasters

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
0 comments
46 forecasters

Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
3 comments
4 forecasters

When will large language models exceed superforecasters’ accuracy in ForecastBench?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days