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0
comments
99
forecasters
Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?
5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
3
comments
60
forecasters
Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026?
6%
chance
0
comments
24
forecasters
Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before March 1, 2026?
76%
chance
9.3%
this week
0
comments
107
forecasters
Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?
7%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
92
forecasters
Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?
5%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
5
comments
35
forecasters
Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025?
result
No
0
comments
3
forecasters
By 2030-12-31, will the PRC seek control of TSMC's Taiwan ops (direct or indirect)?
30%
chance
12.9%
this week
12
comments
94
forecasters
Will the Cambodia-Thailand conflict result in ⩾20 deaths between October 1 and December 15, 2025?
2.8%
chance
Key Factors
Trump to oversee peace deal at ASEAN summit
Ceasefire and Diplomatic Engagement
Domestic Political Pressures and Nationalism
15
comments
196
forecasters
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
2%
chance
6
comments
47
forecasters
If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?
80%
chance
9%
this week
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