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0 comments
107 forecasters

Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?

7%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
92 forecasters

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

0 comments
7 forecasters

Will the current ceasefire declared between Israel and Hamas hold by the time of our next meeting, October 28, 2025 12pm?

95%chance
4% this week
0 comments
97 forecasters

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

20%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

4 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

34%
34%

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

28%
28%
11 comment
4
4 forecasters
2 comments
21 forecasters

Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?

20%chance
0 comments
98 forecasters

Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

161 comments
345 forecasters

When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?

Current estimate
25 Mar 2027
3 comments
48 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

29%chance
4% this week
3 comments
25 forecasters

Will Israel Take Control of Gaza City before Jan 20, 2029?

20%chance