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0 comments
99 forecasters

Will there be another deadly clash between Thailand and Cambodia, resulting in three or more fatalities, before 2026?

30%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
99 forecasters

Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

22 comments
49 forecasters

What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire?

Current estimate
>2193 deaths
2 comments
25 forecasters

Will Zelenskyy Swap Territory/Cede Land to End the War?

33%chance
82 comments
1.8k forecasters

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

2%chance

Key Factors

condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

5 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

19%
19%

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

14%
14%
11 comment
5
5 forecasters

Contributed by the Brown Forecasting Tournament community.

0 comments
14 forecasters

Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before May 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET?

resultNo
82 comments
2.1k forecasters

Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?

6%chance
0 comments
92 forecasters

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

5%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments
107 forecasters

Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?

7%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.