9 comments
32 forecasters
Will humans be able to communicate via telepathy before 2050?
60%chance
15% this week
21 comments
303 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
30%chance
44 comments
434 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?
27%chance
10 comments
67 forecasters
By 2023, will there be evidence for a neurological correlate of human consciousness?
resultNo
Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
1 comment
9 forecasters
What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?
Current estimate
82.6%
169 comments
246 forecasters
Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?
Futurama30.6%
AI-Dystopia24.4%
Singularia19%